Why AI Liability Is a Physics Problem
In the Thiel sense, a "secret" is something true that most people don't know or would disagree with. If most people agreed with it, someone would have already built it. If it were obviously false, it wouldn't be worth pursuing.
This document contains the secret underlying ThetaCoach and the FIM patent portfolio.
The AI liability industry is worth billions. Companies are building:
All of these solutions share a common assumption: that AI liability is a policy problem that can be solved with better rules, better training, better oversight.
This assumption is wrong. And the wrongness is not a matter of degree - it's a matter of kind.
Current AI architectures (transformers, LLMs, diffusion models) are thermodynamically ungrounded. This has a precise technical meaning:
Must re-verify every inference from scratch. No stable foundation for abstraction. Energy cost scales exponentially: O(en) where n = complexity.
Each verified fact becomes permanent foundation. Abstractions build on certainty, not probability. Energy cost scales logarithmically: O(log n).
This is not philosophy. It's physics. And it has a concrete implication:
Ungrounded systems are architecturally incapable of knowing what they did. They can produce outputs. They can log those outputs. But they cannot know - with P=1 certainty - that those outputs are what they intended to produce.
This means audit-grade accountability is impossible for current AI architectures. Not difficult. Impossible.
If you're skeptical that architecture matters more than scale, consider the human brain:
If consciousness (and by extension, "knowing") emerged from computational complexity alone, the cerebellum should be MORE conscious than the cortex.
It isn't. Because architecture determines capability, not parameter count.
This falsifies the assumption underlying current AI scaling: that more parameters = more capability = eventually accountability. The cerebellum proves that some capabilities require specific architectural structures, regardless of scale.
The FIM architecture is built on a decay constant: kE = 0.00298 +/- 0.00004
This is not a tuning parameter. It's a physical constant that converges from five independent domains:
| Domain | Derivation | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Shannon Entropy | H = -Sum(p log p) | kE ~ 0.0029 |
| Thermodynamics | Ebit = kT ln(2) | kE ~ 0.003 |
| Synaptic Precision | Release probability variance | kE in [0.002, 0.004] |
| Cache Physics | Miss rate = 1 - hit rate | kE = 0.003 |
| Kolmogorov Complexity | K(s) compression bounds | kE ~ 0.003 |
Convergence across five independent domains to within 0.00004 tolerance demonstrates this is a physical constant, not an arbitrary design choice.
When you build on a physical constant, you're not competing with other implementations. You're competing with physics. And physics doesn't lose.
The FIM patent includes a paradigm shift from rules-based to physics-based governance:
"Governance as Geometry" - security emerges from structure, not policy.
Current AI governance requires:
Each layer adds complexity, latency, and failure modes. And none of it provides certainty.
FIM governance requires:
You can't violate a physical boundary any more than you can violate conservation of energy. The "enforcement" is built into the substrate.
The thermodynamic argument is simple:
As AI systems grow more complex, ungrounded architectures require exponentially more energy to maintain coherent behavior. This is not a software problem that can be optimized away. It's a physical constraint.
At some complexity threshold, ungrounded systems become economically unsustainable. The compute costs exceed the value produced. The liability exposure exceeds the insurance available.
When that happens - and it will happen - the market will demand grounded systems. Not because of regulation. Not because of ethics. Because of economics.
Why can't OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Microsoft just build this?
If this thesis is correct:
The question for investors is not "is this a good product?" It's "is this thesis correct?"
If the thesis is wrong, the company is a niche CRM with interesting math. If the thesis is correct, the company is a protocol-layer infrastructure play with generational returns.
Everyone else is building earthquake regulations.
We built the earthquake-proof building.