SOURCE Richter_Scale_for_Autonomous_AI.png
MD5 21c96288 · made 2026-10-12 · NotebookLM infographic · OCR tesseract 5.5.1

The Richter Scale for Autonomous Al: Unlocking Enterprise Insurability

THE UNINSURABLE Al WALL
Self-Reporting Al Agents Create an

Uninsurable Liability Vacuum
Underwriters require third-party,

recomputable records an agent did not write.

Undeclared Al Tasks Explode
into 310M+ Token Fat Tails

@ Worst-Case Single Task:

310.4M tokens

Token Usage Distribution

Token Usage Distribution

0110
}

0
-
y 0001000 HM J S

© Worst-Case Single Task:

15.4M tokens

Declared Task Scope

Declared Task Scope

Unbounded
fat-tail growth

( Undeclared Task Scope

Share of Worst
5% Tasks: 89%
of total tokens

46% lower
total spend

oe Share of Worst
5% Tasks: 17%
of total tokens

THE ATTESTATION STANDARD
& MARKET SCALE

The $20 Agent-Year Stamp Serves
as an Independent Richter Scale

Open-source software measures for free; paid
$20 stamps seal logs for carrier acceptance.

‘sit

im 520

(ese

Projected Annual Revenue (ARR) by 2030

$800B Capex Boom Drives Agent
Reading Market Past $1T by 2030

Lowest observed growth rates still drive
market value past $1T annually by 2030.

Direct Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Scaling

P
Active Production Agents

Projected Annual Revenue (ARR)

5 Million

$100 Million ARR
Agents

Unit License Terms: 10,000 actions or 385 days

25 Million $500 Million ARR
Agents Unit License Terms: 10,000 actions or 365 days
100 Million
Agents

AN Gemini Notebook