Count The Drift, Not The Doom
Nobody can put a number on the bad outcome, and the people giving numbers say so. A probability needs evidence to update on, and an agent's open future supplies none. What does: where each step of the work landed against the job written down before it ran. That count is free and open source (MIT), anyone can re-run it to the same bytes, and the paid licence warrants our own reading. Six ways to reason about it, each with the proof, the sharpest objection, and the check that breaks it.










